The Predictive Services section at the National Interagency Fire Center has issued their Wildland Fire Potential Outlook for September through December, 2014.
The data represents the cumulative forecasts of the eleven Geographic Area Predictive Services Units and the National Predictive Services Unit.
If their predictions are accurate, firefighters could be busy in Washington, Oregon through October, and busy in southern California into December. The fall fire season in the southeast looks like it will be normal or slower than normal.
- Above normal fire potential will remain across southwestern Oregon through September for lingering dryness and potential dry, east winds.
- Fire potential will remain elevated across portions of California. Continued dry fuels will couple with potential offshore winds.
- Below normal fire potential is expected to continue for some portions of the eastern U.S. and the Hawaiian Islands.
- Above normal fire potential will persist across California as fuels will remain dry and off shore flow season arrives in earnest. Northern and central California will return to normal potential by the end of the month.
- Below normal fire potential is expected to continue for some portions of the southern Plains, Florida, and Hawaii.
November and December
(Note: there was a technical problem in getting a good copy of the image below.)
- Above normal fire potential will persist across southern California as offshore flow potential continues. Expect a return to normal potential from north to south beginning in late November through December.
- Below normal fire potential is expected to continue for the Gulf and Southeast Coasts, and Hawaii.