Wildfire Today reported yesterday that the Lessons Learned Center and the Incident Management Teams web sites had been hacked. They are both back up again according to Paula at the LLC:
We thank you for your patience throughout the weekend, and most of today, while our programmers worked to isolate a weakness within our database code. The weakness was exploited by a global attack, affecting over 510,000 WebPages, not directed at any one website. This code was identified and replaced, increasing our system security.
Subject: Low live and dead fuel moistures, along with persistent drought, have created the potential for active to extreme fire behavior in many low to mid-elevation parts of the state.
Discussion: With the exception of the northwest corner of the state, most of California is experiencing drought conditions. Effects of lower than normal live and dead fuel moistures and localized sudden oak death are the focus of this advisory.
Concerns to Firefighters: • Energy Release Components (ERC) at numerous weather stations in the affected Predictive Service Areas (PSA) are setting record highs; this is an indication of very dry fuels. Expect increased fire intensity and spread rates in these areas. Already this year several burnover situations have occurred. The fuels in these PSA’s are primarily grass and brush. A common denominator of fire behavior on tragedy and near-miss fires: Flare-ups generally occur in deceptively light fuels, such as grass and light brush. • The combination of persistent drought in the South and record setting low March-May precipitation totals in the North has led to low live and dead fuel moistures. Expect fires to ignite easier and spread faster. During mobile attack in light fuels engine crews have found that it takes more time using additional water to knock down fire under these current conditions. • Both live and dead fuel moistures are 3-6 weeks ahead of last year’s drying rates. Low 1000 hour fuel moistures have been evidenced by complete consumption on recent fires. Anticipate increased spread rates, spotting, and active nighttime burning. Link to extreme fire behavior video on the Indians fire in the Central Coast Mountains: http://gacc.nifc.gov/oncc/predictive/fuels_fire-danger/LP_FIRE_BEHAVIOR_08.wmv • Localized sudden oak death (SOD) has affected a number of oak species in southern California. Fire behavior in areas affected with SOD is often more intense due to increased fuel loadings.
Mitigation Measures: • Local and inbound fire personnel need to develop situational awareness of the conditions represented in this advisory. Details on site specific conditions regarding ERC’s, live and dead fuel moistures, and/or disease should be covered during briefings. • Ensure firefighters have good anchor points, escape routes, and safety zones. Remember LCES. • Consult the latest Fire Weather Forecasts, Monthly Fire Weather / Fire Danger Outlooks, Pocket Cards, and the recently updated California Fire Season Assessment (July-October) posted at: http://gacc.nifc.gov/oncc/predictive/index.htm http://gacc.nifc.gov/oscc/predictive/index.htm Area of Concern: The area of concern covers the following 6 PSA’s in California: Bay Area, Central Coast Mountains and Valleys, Mid Coast to Mendocino, Sierra Foothills, Sacramento Valley Foothills and the portion of the Northern Sierras below 3,000 feet elevation. A map showing the areas of concern described in this advisory can be found at: http://www.nifc.gov/nicc/predictive/fuels_fire-danger/fuels_advisories.htm
Issued: June 21, 2008 Valid Until Further Notice ========= HERE is a link to the document that includes a map.
The Gallery fire, part of the Basin complex south of Big Sur, was very active yesterday. The Gallery fire is approximately 5,920 acres and is 10% contained. The Basin fire, which is north of the Gallery fire, is also part of the complex which totals 8,500 acres. However, in looking at the map below, the Basin and Gallery fires have burned very close to each other, perhaps merging in some areas.
Five structures or out buildings may have been damaged in the last 24 hours, according to the Southern California coordination center.
The Indians fire has completed fireline around the south 2/3 of the perimeter. There is still a great deal of open line on the north side. They have completed a lot of indirect dozer line on the north side side of the fire, south of Arroyo Seco Road.
Here is a map, showing heat detected by satellites last night. The red is recently burned areas, while the yellow is the fire perimeter uploaded by the Incident Management Team. Click on the map to see a larger version.
Here is a map of the Clover fire on the Sequoia and now Inyo National Forests in California showing the heat detected by satellites last night in red, orange, and black. The yellow line is the last perimeter uploaded by the incident management team a few days ago. It appears that is was less active yesterday than it was the day before when it made the big run towards Hwy. 395. It has burned 13,049 acres and is 10% contained. A second incident management team has been ordered to manage the portion of the fire on the east side of the Sierra crest.
I came across a map, above, of the Clover fire on the Sequoia National Forest, while it was still a Wildland Fire Use (WFU) fire on June 18. On the north and west sides, it was mostly hemmed in by previous fires that burned 2-4 years previously. On the east and southeast sides was an old 64-year old burn, and there was no fire history on the southwest side. The black line east of the fire is the Kern River.
Yesterday the fire crossed the Kern River, crested the Sierras, and burned east toward Hwy. 395