Wildfire potential, September through December, 2012

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Wildfire Outlook, September, 2012

The Predictive Services section at the National Interagency Fire Center has issued their National Wildland Fire Potential Outlook for September through December, 2012. If it is correct, the wildfire season across portions of the northern plains, Rockies, and California will be active through the month of September, at least.

Here is an excerpt from their analysis:


Significant Fire Potential

  • For September above normal significant fire potential is predicted for a band of the western U.S. stretching from central and northern California, through the northern Great Basin and into the Northern Rockies and north central U.S. The mountains and foothills of central and Southern California will also experience above normal significant fire potential. Portions of the Hawaiian Islands continue to see elevated significant fire potential as well.
  • The far southeastern U.S. will continue to see periodic precipitation events and reduced significant fire potential.
  • The rest of the country will have normal significant fire potential.
  • As the fall leaf drop season develops the potential exists for a return to above normal significant fire potential across portions of the eastern U.S.
  • Also during the October through early November period Southern California will likely experience periodic off shore flow events leading to elevated significant fire potential.

Wildfire Outlook, September, 2012

Wildfire outlook, October - December, 2012

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Author: Bill Gabbert

After working full time in wildland fire for 33 years, he continues to learn, and strives to be a Student of Fire.