Wildfire potential, November through February

Wildfire potential, November, 2012

The Predictive Services section at the National Interagency Fire Center has issued their National Wildland Fire Potential Outlook for November, 2012 through February, 2013. As we get closer to winter, there are no areas identified as having above normal wildfire potential for that period.

Wildfire potential, November, 2012

Wildfire potential, December, 2012 - February, 2012

Here is an excerpt from the report:

Significant Fire Potential

  • For November above normal significant fire potential only remains across small portions of the Hawaiian Islands. By the December through February timeframe no above normal significant fire potential is expected in the U.S.
  • Below normal significant fire potential is expected across much of the southeastern U.S. for the entire forecast period
  • Elsewhere expect near normal significant fire potential to exist. In many areas of the western U.S. this indicates fall and winter conditions that are generally considered out of fire season.

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Author: Bill Gabbert

After working full time in wildland fire for 33 years, he continues to learn, and strives to be a Student of Fire.

One thought on “Wildfire potential, November through February”

  1. I wonder why a live fuel moisture in the low 50’s and no significant precip in the 8-14 day outlook doesn’t have much of SoCal in the “Above Normal” for November?

    Normally by this time of year we’ve received enough rain that green grass was starting to appear. Instead, only back to back Santa Ana wind events are on the horizon.


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