After skipping the October Wildland Fire Potential Outlook because of the government shutdown, today the Predictive Services section at the National Interagency Fire Center issued their Wildland Fire Potential Outlook for November through February. If their prediction is correct there is nothing extraordinary ahead, except for above normal potential in southern California in November. Here is their summary:
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“The November and December 2013, and January through February, 2014, significant wildland fire potential forecasts included in this outlook represent the cumulative forecasts of the eleven Geographic Area Predictive Services Units and the National Predictive Services Unit.
November
- Significant wildland fire potential remains above normal for Central and South Coast of southern California but will return to normal by the end of the month.
- Below normal fire potential will continue from central Texas to the Ohio Valley and the central Appalachians. Short-term increases in fire activity are possible along the lower Atlantic Coast.
December
- The Southeast will continue to see below normal significant wildland fire potential from central Texas through the Appalachians, except possible short-term increases in Florida.
- There are no areas of above normal fire potential for December.
January through February
- Below normal fire potential will continue from eastern Texas to the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys.
- No areas of above normal significant wildland fire potential are expected for January or February.”
