Wildfire potential, June through September

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The Predictive Services section at the National Interagency Fire Center has issued their Wildland Fire Potential Outlook for June through September. The data represents the cumulative forecasts of the eleven Geographic Area Predictive Services Units and the National Predictive Services Unit.

If their predictions are accurate, portions of California, Washington, Oregon, and Arizona will have expanding areas of above normal wildfire potential in June and July

Here are the highlights from their outlook.


wildfire June outlook

  • Moisture across the West has reduced the Above Normal areas to central California and southwestern Arizona.
  • Drier areas in the Northern Rockies, Northwest and the Southeast will begin to transition to Above Normal.
  • Above Normal conditions with continue in Alaska’s eastern Interior and most of Hawaii.
  • Below Normal fire potential covers much of the central U.S. after prolonged heavy rains.


wildfire July outlook

  • Above Normal fire potential will spread into the Northwest, the Northern Rockies and the Great Basin.
  • Above Normal fire potential will continue across central and southern California, southwestern Arizona, and spread into the Nevada Sierra Front. Hawaii will also remain in Above Normal potential.
  • Above Normal fire potential will expand through Georgia and the Carolinas while most of the central U.S. and Alaska will return to normal seasonal conditions.

August and September

wildfire August September outlook

  • Above Normal fire potential will continue across the Northwest, the Northern Rockies, the Great Basin and parts of central and southern California, and Hawaii.

And from NOAA and the USDA:

Drought Monitor US, May 26, 2015


Drought outlook, June, 2015

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Author: Bill Gabbert

After working full time in wildland fire for 33 years, he continues to learn, and strives to be a Student of Fire.