The Predictive Services section at the National Interagency Fire Center issued their Wildland Fire Potential Outlook through February, 2016. The data represents the cumulative forecasts of the ten Geographic Area Predictive Services Units and the National Predictive Services Unit.
If their forecasts are accurate, it looks like pretty benign conditions across the United States this winter except for southern California in November.
Here are the highlights from their outlook.
November
- Significant fire potential has reduced to normal fall conditions across most of the U.S.
- Above normal significant fire potential will continue across southern California due to continued drought. All areas of above normal potential should return to normal by the end of November.
- A Large portion of the southern U.S. will see below normal significant fire potential. Typical fire activity should be less than usual across a majority of the eastern U.S. for the fall.
- Puerto Rico and the Hawaiian Islands will see below normal conditions as well.
- Elsewhere normal fall conditions will prevail.
December
- No areas of above normal significant fire potential will remain in the U.S.
- Portions of the Southeastern U.S., Hawaiian Islands and Puerto Rico will continue to see below normal potential.
- Normal conditions are expected elsewhere.
January-February, 2016
- Portions of the Southeastern U.S, and Puerto Rico will continue to see below normal potential.
- Normal conditions are expected elsewhere.
