Elevated or critical fire danger predicted Tuesday and Wednesday for the Central Gulf Coast vicinity

Updated at 4:21 p.m. CDT Sept, 27, 2022

Wind, noon CDT, Sept. 27, 2022
Wind forecast for noon CDT, Sept. 28, 2022. Windy.com

It turns out that one of the reasons for the elevated fire dangers and the strong north winds in Louisiana, Mississippi, Georgia, and Alabama is the counter-clockwise rotation around Hurricane Ian. This wind forecast for noon CDT on Wednesday shows the northerly flow in those states which is similar to the winds on Tuesday, but the speeds will be higher Wednesday.

The colors on the map represent wind speed, not precipitation. The legend for wind speed is at bottom-right (in knots).

Updated at 4 p.m. CDT Sept, 27, 2022

Red Flag Warnings, Mississippi, Alabama, Florida fire
Red Flag Warnings, 4 p.m. CDT Sept 27, 2022

The National Weather Service has modified this fire weather forecast repeatedly on Tuesday afternoon for the Central Gulf Coast vicinity, possibly due to complications caused by Hurricane Ian which is headed to the west side of Florida near Tampa.

The map above was current Tuesday at 4 p.m. CDT. There will be some Red Flag Warnings in the area on Wednesday, but we’ll wait until Wednesday morning to post the map, after the forecast settles a bit.

Red Flag Warnings, Sept 27, 2022
Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches, 11:10 a.m. CDT Sept 27, 2022.

Low humidity and strong wind predicted on Tuesday and Wednesday for the Central Gulf Coast vicinity brings elevated fire danger to areas of Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida.

A Red Flag Warning is in effect Tuesday afternoon for southwest Alabama and southeast Mississippi.

Fire weather central MS
Fire weather Sept. 27, 2022 for central MS, northeast LA, and southwest AR.

Weather forecasters expect the relative humidity will be in the low 20s across much of the area or even the high teens near the Gulf Coast. Afternoon wind gusts will be greater than 20 mph.

The forecast for Wednesday is for the critical fire weather to expand further into Alabama, the Florida panhandle, and Georgia.

Fire Weather Outlook, Sept 28, 2022
Fire Weather Outlook, Sept 28, 2022.

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Author: Bill Gabbert

After working full time in wildland fire for 33 years, he continues to learn, and strives to be a Student of Fire.

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