The above map is a National Weather Service product that is new to me. According to meteorologist Nick Nauslar it is derived strictly from a fire history database. It is plotted on a 40km grid with some smoothing and it does not take fuels or weather into account. It is not available online yet, but there is an expectation that it will be soon.
And below apparently is the same data displayed in a different manner.
What strikes me is the large number of wildfires in the second map over the Southeast (Georgia and the Carolinas) with a complete lack of any probability in the first map. And since the 2nd map only represents a single day compared to the probability map which is for an entire week makes it even more striking. Could be a few reasons that explain it. One could be that none of them are large enough (> 300 acres). Any other thoughts on this?
Wow. Did not know that Idaho and Nevada had such effective wildfire prevention programs the last 20 years! : )
I believe the second map is data just for February 28, for the years 1992 to 2013.