Smoke predicted to affect San Francisco Bay area

Possibly the strongest wind event of the fall season will occur in northern California Saturday morning into Monday

forecast 4 a.m. PDT October 26 fire wildfire smoke
Forecast for the distribution of near surface smoke at 4 a.m. PDT October 26, in the San Francisco area and south as far as Santa Barbara. Click to enlarge.

UPDATED at 6:09 p.m. PDT October 25, 2019

The map above is the forecast for the distribution of near surface smoke at 4 a.m. PDT October 26, in the San Francisco area and south as far as Santa Barbara.


7:56 a.m. PDT October 25, 2019

northern california San Francisco Forecast near surface smoke western united states
Forecast for near surface smoke in the western U.S. at 5 p.m. PDT Oct. 25, 2019

Forecasters predict that smoke from the Kincade and Tick Fires will heavily affect some locations in northern and southern California Friday. Especially affected will be the San Francisco Bay Area, from San Jose north to Santa Rosa, including the city of San Francisco.

Smoke from prescribed burning will be noticed by residents in Oregon, Idaho, and Montana.

northern california San Francisco Forecast near surface smoke northern California
Forecast for near surface smoke in northern California at 5 p.m. PDT Oct. 25, 2019

Red  Flag Warnings will continue in Southern California until Friday night.

Red Flag Warnings Fire Weather Watches
Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches, at 7 a.m. PDT Oct. 25, 2019. Times are CDT.

Very strong, dry winds are in the forecast for northern California beginning Saturday morning. This wind event which will continue into Monday is being described as “likely the strongest wind storm of the fall season” with northeast to east winds of 30 to 40 mph gusting at 45 to 70. The Watch areas in the map above will probably be upgraded to Red Flag Warnings by late Friday or Saturday morning.

(Red Flag Warnings can be modified throughout the day as NWS offices around the country update and revise their weather forecasts.)

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Author: Bill Gabbert

After working full time in wildland fire for 33 years, he continues to learn, and strives to be a Student of Fire.