Wildfire potential, March through June, 2012

Wildfire outlook April-June, 2012

The Predictive Services section at the National Interagency Fire Center has issued their National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook for March through June, 2012. The eastern United States should experience temperatures much above normal in March, and drought conditions are predicted for the southwest, the southeast, and Minnesota through May.

Below is a summary of the wildfire potential:

  • Above Normal Significant Fire Potential is expected along the east coast from near Wilmington, North Carolina, to near Panama City, Florida, including all of the Florida peninsula; most of northwestern Nevada; foothills and inland valleys of southern California; and the lee side of the Hawai’in Islands.
  • Significant Fire Potential will increase to above normal in the spring across most of Minnesota, northern Wisconsin, the upper peninsula of Michigan and northwestern Iowa; central and western New Mexico, most of Arizona, southern Nevada, far southern Utah and extreme southwestern Colorado.
  • Below Normal Significant Fire Potential is expected for much of the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, the middle and lower Mississippi Valley, and Puerto Rico.
  • The rest of the country will have normal significant fire potential.

Wildfire outlook, March, 2012

Wildfire outlook April-June, 2012

(More maps are below)

Precipitation outlook, March, 2012

Seasonal drought outlook, March-May, 2012



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Author: Bill Gabbert

After working full time in wildland fire for 33 years, he continues to learn, and strives to be a Student of Fire.

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