Wildfire experts in Australia are sounding the alarm during a time that has historically been one of relief.
The Australian and New Zealand Council for Fire and Emergency Services, or AFAC, recently released its Seasonal Bushfire Outlook for the region. As winter begins across the southern parts of the nation, the report warns residents of a heightened wildfire risk from June through August, specifically for the southern coastal areas of South Australia and significant portions of western, southwestern, and southeastern Victoria.
The regions with the highest risk also faced the lowest or near-lowest amount of rainfall on record between January and April, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The lack of rainfall has increased wildfire risk in both grassland and forest areas, but has reduced fire risk in pasture and crop landscapes.

“The prolonged drought conditions mean that communities across parts of Victoria and South Australia may see more activity than normal for this time of the year,” AFAC CEO Rob Webb said in the Outlook. “Fire authorities will monitor the landscape conditions and climate influences closely this season to manage bushfire risk and identify opportunities for mitigation activities such as planned burning.”
The season is also forecast to be warmer than average nationwide. This, combined with higher-than-average pressure systems and warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures attributed to climate change, caused experts to alert communities to stay vigilant and alert during the usual off-season for wildfires across southern Australia.
Northern Australia’s wildfire risk, however, is low thanks to tropical rainfall activity persisting into the typical start of the dry season – and northern fire season – for the region.
















