Wildfire smoke forecast for Sunday evening

This is the forecast for the distribution of wildfire smoke for 6 p.m. ET, Sunday, November 13, 2016. Courtesy of NOAA. It was produced at 1 p.m. ET, November 12, 2016.

For a satellite photo of actual wildfire smoke on Friday, click HERE.

For the latest articles at Wildfire Today about wildfire smoke check out the articles tagged “smoke”.

Heavy wildfire activity continues in North Carolina and Georgia

Above: The map shows the location of some of the larger wildfires in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Georgia November 11, 2016.

(UPDATED at 4:59 p.m. ET November 11, 2016)

The intense wildfire activity that has been going on for weeks in the southeast United States ramped up a bit over the last 24 hours as extremely low relative humidities allowed some of the blazes to continue to spread aggressively Thursday night. A weather station southeast of Asheville, NC 9 miles northwest of the 977-acre Party Rock Fire recorded 9 percent RH early Friday morning. Night time humidities in that part of the country are usually far above 50 percent at night.

The good news is the conditions will moderate a little over the next several days after the passage of a cold front.

weather forecast asheville NC
Weather forecast for the area southeast of Asheville, NC through November 18, 2016. NWS.

There are currently 31 uncontained wildfires in the Southern Geographic Area. Here some other numbers about the fires in the region (data from the National Interagency Coordination Center and the Southern Area Coordination Center):

  • 10 Incident Management Teams deployed or en route (3 Type 1 teams, 6 Type 2 teams, and 2 Type 3 teams)
  • 77,507 acres have burned in the fires that are still active
  • 136 hand crews
  • 184 engines
  • 12 air tankers (4 large and 3 single engine)
  • 14 air attack ships
  • 34 helicopters (11 large Type 1, 5 medium Type 2) and 18 Type 3)
  • 3,067 total personnel assigned
list of wildfires southeast
List of some of the larger wildfires in the southeast U.S. on November 11, 2016. Data from SACC. Click to enlarge.

Continue reading “Heavy wildfire activity continues in North Carolina and Georgia”

Evacuations continue for Party Rock Fire in North Carolina

Above: Party Rock Fire near Chimney Rock, NC. Photo by Cathy Anderson.

(UPDATED at 11:53 a.m. ET November 12, 2016)

The Party Rock Fire at Chimney Rock, North Carolina continued to spread on Friday and has now blackened 2,626 acres according to information from the Incident Management Team at 7 p.m. on Friday.

Areas under mandatory evacuation orders include the entire community of Chimney Rock, the Highway 74-A corridor west of Chimney Rock, Rumbling Bald Resort, and some areas in the Town of Lake Lure.

There are no reports of any structures being destroyed.

Map Party Rock Fire
Map of the Party Rock Fire. Data as of 7 p.m. November 11, 2016. By Incident Management Team.

On Friday air tankers and helicopters dropped water and retardant to help slow the spread of the fire and to protect the communities.

A section of Highway 74-A was closed for a period of time Friday afternoon.

Map showing the approximate perimeter of the Party Rock Fire at 12:25 a.m. ET November 12, 2016.
Map showing the approximate perimeter of the Party Rock Fire at 12:25 a.m. ET November 12, 2016.

The weather has changed to be more in favor of the firefighters. After some single-digit relative humidities earlier in the week, on Saturday it should bottom out at 30 percent in the fire area after having risen to around 80 percent overnight. The wind will not be a major problem, and is predicted to be out of the northeast at 4 to 6 mph with gusts of 5 to 10 mph. The high temperature will be 53 degrees. Sunday will be about the same, but a little warmer and drier.

****

(Originally published at 2:01 ET November 11, 2016)

The rapid spread of the Party Rock Fire overnight is causing evacuations for some areas within the community of Chimney Rock, North Carolina. The fire is just west of Lake Lure, on the north side of Chimney Rock, and is 18 miles southeast of Asheville.

Here is a link to a map with details about the evacuation.

The fire started November 5 in Chimney Rock State Park and is being managed by Dan Brandon’s North Carolina Type 2 Incident Management Team. As of Thursday evening it had burned 977 acres and was being fought by 165 personnel.

Part of the reason for the increased fire activity over the last 24 hours was the extremely low relative humidity. It is not uncommon for this part of the country to have the RH go up near 100 percent at night, but Thursday afternoon it got down to 10 percent, went up to around 30 percent at midnight, then dropped as low as 9 percent before sunrise. At 2:04 p.m. ET on Friday it was 27 percent, still low for North Carolina. Aggravating the situation was 10 to 20 mph wind gusts out of the west and southeast.

The forecast calls for the RH to rise into the 40s later Friday afternoon and into the 70s during the night. The wind Friday afternoon will be out of the north and northwest at 8 mph with 20 mph gusts. The temperature will be around 60. These conditions will be challenging for firefighters

Saturday the RH will be in the 40s under sunny skies.

Smoke from wildfires impacts Georgia

Above: Satellite photo showing smoke from wildfires in North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Georgia, November 10, 2016.

Many wildfires are still burning in North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee, and several other states in the southeastern United States. On Thursday much of the smoke was being blown into the northern half of Georgia, potentially causing health problems for sensitive people.

map fires south
Map showing the location of wildfires in NC, SC, TN, and GA. Click to enlarge.

The primary culprit for the wildfire activity is a lack of precipitation. Many areas in the southeast have not received any significant rain in weeks. It has been more than 70 days for some locations in Kentucky, Tennessee, North Carolina, Georgia, Mississippi, Alabama, and South Carolina. This has resulted in many wildfires breaking out in the last month.

list wildfires south
List of some of the wildfires in North Carolina November 10, 2016 (many others, including some in other southern states, are not shown in this list).

The state with the most active fires is North Carolina, but the largest fire currently burning in the south is in Georgia, the 10,336-acre Rough Ridge Fire in the northern part of the state. Caused by lightning on October 16, it is being fought by 296 personnel, 9 hand crews, 2 helicopters, 7 engines, and 2 dozers.

Continue reading “Smoke from wildfires impacts Georgia”

Very dry autumn brings numerous wildfires to the southeast

Currently there are 38 fires in the south that have each burned at least 100 acres.

Above: Local residents keep an eye on the Dicks Creek Fire near Sylva in western North Carolina. Photo by Jason Farmer, The Sylva Herald.

Most areas in the southeast United States have not received any significant rain in dozens of days. It has been more than 70 days for some locations in Kentucky, Tennessee, North Carolina, Georgia, Mississippi, Alabama, and South Carolina. This has resulted in many wildfires breaking out in recent weeks.

days since rain southeast
Southern Area Coordination Center.

Currently there are 38 active fires in the Southern Geographic area that have each burned more than 100 acres, prompting the Southern Area Coordination Center to raise the preparedness level as high as it will go, to Level 5, something that does not happen very often.

southern area planning level 5
Graphic by the Southern Area Coordination Center

Large numbers of firefighting resources have moved into the south to help combat the blazes. The figures below include those that were en route, committed, or staged in the area as of Monday morning.

  • 5 Incident Management Teams (2 Type 1 and 3 Type 2)
  • 56 hand crews (8 Type 1, 22 Type 2, and 26 fire suppression modules)
  • 5 air tankers (3 large, and 2 Single Engine Air Tankers)
  • 29 helicopters (9 Type 1, 4 Type 2, and 16 Type 3)
  • 1,632 Overhead personnel

The audio in the video below is an interview with Mike Dueitt, the Incident Commander of a Type 1 Incident Management Team from the Southern Geographic Area currently managing multiple wildfires in North Carolina. The images in the video were taken October 24 through November 6, 2016.

These still photos were taken at or near the 532-acre Dicks Creek Fire, which is about 1.5 miles northwest of Sylva, North Carolina. They were all shot by Jason Farmer of the Sylva Herald. About 31 structures are threatened by the fire, which is being fought by 59 personnel.

wildfires western North Carolina
Smoky skies near Sylva, North Carolina. Photo by Jason Farmer, The Sylva Herald.

Continue reading “Very dry autumn brings numerous wildfires to the southeast”

Firefighters from across the country assisting with wildfires in the south

wildfires southern area
List of wildfires in the Southern Geographic Area, as shown in the October 31, 2016 daily Incident Management Report. Click to see larger version.

As most areas in the western states are winding down or have already closed out their wildfire season, the fall fire season in the South is appearing on the radar as leaves fall off the trees and frost kills the herbaceous vegetation, providing additional fuel.

The Southern Geographic Area’s daily report includes nine fires over the last couple of weeks that exceeded 100 acres.

The Nantahala National Forest in western North Carolina has five active blazes that have burned 40, 100, 33, 11, and 374 acres. Elevated fire activity on the Forest has prompted fire management officials to transition from district management to a Type 3 organization. Effective Sunday, this enables more effective management of several fires simultaneously under the umbrella of one incident commander.

Additional resources have arrived to assist in suppressing ongoing fires as well as any new starts.  Crews from California, New Mexico, Michigan, Minnesota, Florida and Oregon have joined forces with local firefighters.

None of these fires show up on InciWeb.

fire map southern area
Location of wildfires as reported on October 31, 2016 by the Southern Area Coordination Center.

Thanks and a tip of the hat go out to Perry.