Wildfire potential for September through December, 2010

The National Interagency Fire Center has released their outlook for wildfire potential for September through December, 2010.

According to their Predictive Services section, the primary factors influencing the outlook are:

• Tropical Moisture: Above normal rainfall due to an anticipated active storm pattern will likely lead to lower fire potential across the southeastern states in September.

• Drought: Areas of long-term dryness stretching from northeast Texas to the Mid-Atlantic States will lead to above normal fire potential during the fall fire season.

• Offshore Winds: Anticipated offshore winds in southern California combined with dry conditions will produce elevated fire potential into the fall.

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Wildfire potential outlook, July-October

These maps are from the National Interagency Fire Center, updated today. If this proves to be the case, it looks like a very quiet summer for wildland firefighters in the United States. The exceptions are Arizona in the first part of July, central Alaska in July, and Hawaii in the late summer. Click on them to see very large versions. More details.

Wildfire outlook July 2010

Wildfire outlook August through October, 2010

Wildfire potential for June-September

The National Interagency Fire Center has issued their outlook for wildfire potential for the summer, June through July.

The outlook for June 1 to June 30, 2010, below, has an “issued date” of May 3, 2010, and says “next issuance June 1, 2010”. But it is different from the previous map posted a month ago for the month of May with an issued date of May 3, 2010. So we’re going out on a limb here and will assume that the map below is actually for the month of June, was issued on June 1, and they just forgot to update the issued date.

These guys are driving me crazy. A couple of months ago they posted a seasonal outlook that was supposed to be current, but it was actually a year old. Of course I pasted one of the maps here, and didn’t realize the error until Ken kindly pointed it out.

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The map below is a little more straight forward. It is for July through September, and was issued on June 1, 2010.


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