Combined, bark beetle outbreaks and wildfire spell uncertain future for forests

Bark beetle outbreaks and wildfire alone are not a death sentence for Colorado’s beloved forests — but together, their toll may become more permanent

Aspen trees regenerate fire beetles
Aspen trees regenerate from their roots in the San Juan range of the Rocky Mountains, amidst many dead Engelmann spruce trees. (Credit: Robert Andrus)

Aspen trees regenerate from their roots in the San Juan range of the Rocky Mountains, amidst many dead Engelmann spruce trees. (Credit: Robert Andrus)

New research from the University of Colorado Boulder found that when wildfire follows a severe spruce beetle outbreak in the Rocky Mountains, Engelmann spruce trees are unable to recover and grow back, while aspen tree roots survive underground. The study, published last month in Ecosphere, is one of the first to document the effects of bark beetle kill on high elevation forests’ recovery from wildfire.

“The fact that Aspen is regenerating prolifically after wildfire is not a surprise,” said Robert Andrus, who conducted this research while working on his PhD in physical geography at CU Boulder. “The surprising piece here is that after beetle kill and then wildfire, there aren’t really any spruce regenerating.”

Andrus’ previous research found that bark beetle outbreaks are not a death sentence to Colorado forests — even after overlapping outbreaks with different kinds of beetles — and that spruce bark beetle infestations do not affect fire severity.

This new research, conducted in the San Juan range of the Rocky Mountains, shows that subalpine forests that have not been attacked by bark beetles will likely recover after wildfire. But for forests that suffer from a severe bark beetle outbreak followed by wildfire within about five years, conifers cannot mount a comeback. While these subalpine forests can often take a century to recover from fire, this research on short-term recovery is a good predictor of longer-term trends.

“This combination, the spruce beetle outbreak and the fire, can alter the trajectory of the forest to dominance by aspen,” said Andrus, who is now a postdoctoral researcher at Washington State University.

For those worried about the future of Rocky Mountain forests farther north, more research is needed on areas burned in the 2020 East Troublesome Fire to understand how the mountain pine beetle outbreak prior to that fire will affect forest recovery, according to Andrus.

The next generation

Each bark beetle species specializes in attacking — and usually killing — a specific host tree species or closely related species. Several species of bark beetle are native to Colorado and usually exist at low abundances, killing only dying or weakened trees. But as the climate becomes hotter and drier, their populations can explode, causing outbreaks which kill large numbers of even the healthiest trees.

spruce seedling fire beetles
An Engelmann spruce seedling survives where few seeds have fallen following spruce beetle outbreak and wildfire. (Credit: Robert Andrus)

An Engelmann spruce seedling survives where few seeds have fallen following spruce beetle outbreak and wildfire. (Credit: Robert Andrus)

These large, healthy Engelmann spruce and subalpine fir trees are the ones that produce the most seeds. When bark beetles kill these trees and then fire sweeps in, the researchers found there simply aren’t enough seeds being produced in the burned areas to regenerate the forest.

Aspens, however, regrow from their root systems. While all three of these higher elevation trees have thin bark and die when exposed to fire, with their regenerative roots underground, aspens can bounce back where conifers cannot.

The researchers focused specifically on areas of forest affected by spruce bark beetle outbreaks, which attack Engelmann spruce, where fires such as Papoose, West Fork and Little Sands burned in 2012 and 2013 in Rio Grande National Forest. They found that for forests that suffer from a severe bark beetle outbreak followed by wildfire within about five years, Engelmann spruce and subalpine fir trees failed to recover in 74% of the 45 sites sampled.

This information will help inform land managers and policy makers about the implications for high elevation forest recovery following a combination of stressors and events.

And it’s more important information than ever. Not only do bark beetle outbreaks leave behind swaths of dead, dry trees — and fewer trees to produce seeds — but the climate is getting hotter and droughts are becoming more frequent, promoting larger fires.

“Bark beetle outbreaks have been killing lots and lots of trees throughout the western United States. And especially at higher elevation forests, what drives bark beetle outbreaks and what drives fire are similar conditions: generally warmer and drier conditions,” said Andrus.

But there is good news: The aspens that may come to dominate these forests can anchor their recovery, and keep forests from transitioning into grasslands.

“Where the aspen are regenerating, we expect to see a forest in those areas,” said Andrus.

The name of the paper that was published January 22, 2021 is “Future dominance by quaking aspen expected following short‐interval, compounded disturbance interaction.” Additional authors on this publication include Thomas Veblen at CU Boulder; and Sarah Hart and Niko Tutland of Colorado State University.

As bushfire conditions in Eastern Australia have eased this summer firefighters train and conduct prescribed fires

Firefighters in Victoria, Australia conduct prescribed fires.
Firefighters in Victoria, Australia conduct prescribed fires. Forest Fire Management Victoria photo.

The cooler and wetter weather in the Eastern Australian states of New South Wales and Victoria this summer has resulted in a very different bushfire season than the one that led to multiple very large fires a year ago.

Firefighters in Victoria have taken advantage of the conditions to conduct rappel training and complete prescribed fires.

Firefighters in Victoria, Australia conduct prescribed fires.
Firefighters in Victoria, Australia conduct a briefing before a prescribed fire. Forest Fire Management Victoria photo.
Firefighters in Victoria, Australia conduct prescribed fires.
Firefighters in Victoria, Australia conduct a prescribed fire. Forest Fire Management Victoria photo.
Firefighters Victoria, Australia rappel training
Firefighters in Victoria, Australia conduct rappel training. Coulson photo.
Firefighters Victoria, Australia rappel training
Firefighters in Victoria, Australia conduct rappel training. Coulson photo.

In the video below Victoria’s new Deputy Chief Fire Officer Geoff Conway and CFA’s Deputy Chief Officer for the South East Region Trevor Owen provide an update on how the bushfire season is going and what to expect ahead in the Gippsland region of Southeast Victoria. It was recorded February 10, 2021.

Non-profit mentors communities recovering from natural disasters

Leaders Helping Leaders

Since 2017 an organization in Pateros, Washington has been helping communities recover from natural and man-made disasters.

Disaster Leadership TeamDisaster Leadership Team (DLT) members are available, through one-on-one mentorship, to help communities establish the infrastructure needed for long term disaster recovery from tornadoes, wildfires, floods, mudslides, and hurricanes. Their goal is to be there to support others who are facing the unbelievable obstacles and challenges that accompany disaster.

They have assisted after wildfires in California (Woolsey and Camp), floods in Nebraska (counties of Dodge, Sarpy, and Douglas), and after hurricane Michael in Florida.

Disaster Leadership Team
DLT member, Christine Files, in August, 2019, facilitating a Strategic Planning Workshop in Florida for the Citizens of Gulf County Recovery Team following Hurricane Michael. Disaster Leadership Team photo.

The formation of the DLT  began when the Mennonite Disaster Service (MDS) first brought together disaster leaders they had worked with from across the United States. In September 2016, the group met and shared experiences and stories. It was evident this group was filled with strong, determined leaders who were ready to help other communities facing the long road of disaster recovery.

The DLT is a non-profit, 501 (c) (3), and considering the field they are working in operates on a shoestring, receiving an average of $62,760 each year, 2017 through 2019. Virtually all of the contributions so far have come from the MDS and the Center for Disaster Philanthropy. Their staff, Executive Director, Treasurer, Board Members, Secretary, and Board Members receive no salaries.

The DLT works with the Okanogan County [Washington] Long Term Recovery organization which is recovering from the wildfires and mudslides of 2014 and 2015. The organization has replaced 27 homes and worked on over 1,200 cases.

Disaster Leadership Team
DLT members Robin and Jessica provided support to the Camp Fire Long Term Recovery Group in Chico, California in February, 2020. Disaster Leadership Team photo.

Wildfire risk reports available for communities in the U.S.

Reports can be customized for every city, county, and state

Wildfire risk, Yreka, CA
Homes at risk from wildfire in Yreka, CA. An excerpt from a report by Headquarters Economics.

Headwaters Economics has developed new Wildfire Risk report system for communities. Reports can be customized for every U.S. city, county, and state which provide information about wildfire risk and potentially vulnerable populations. It uses public data from the USDA Forest Service, US Census Bureau, and other sources and is one of several reports available in their Economic Profile System.

Headwaters Economics explains that they created this new report because wildfire risk is more than a physical hazard. Economic, demographic, and social vulnerabilities put some people disproportionately at risk. Information in their reports can help elected officials, land use planners, fire personnel, and community health organizations to:

  • prioritize and direct resources to the people and places most at-risk;
  • customize and target outreach and education efforts; and
  • tailor wildfire response and operational plans.

The graphic at the top of this article is a portion of the 15-page report for Yreka, California, which can be downloaded here.

Arizona Central also has a system for generating data about wildfire risk for individual communities in the Western United States.

Researchers conduct detailed case study of the Camp Fire

Establish a fire progression timeline

firefighter battles flames Camp Fire
A firefighter battles flames at the Camp Fire. Photo by FirePhotoGirl used with permission.

On a brisk November morning in 2018, a fire sparked in a remote stretch of canyon in Butte County, California, a region nestled against the western slopes of the Sierra Nevada mountains. Fueled by a sea of tinder created by drought, and propelled by powerful gusts, the flames grew and traveled rapidly. In less than 24 hours, the fire had swept through the town of Paradise and other communities, leaving a charred ruin in its wake.

The Camp Fire was the costliest disaster worldwide in 2018 and, having caused 85 deaths and destroyed more than 18,000 buildings, it became both the deadliest and most destructive wildfire in California’s history, two records the fire still holds today.

What made the Camp Fire so devastating? And what lessons can we learn to prevent another disaster of this scale? Researchers at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) have begun to answer these questions by investigating the conditions leading up to the fire and meticulously reconstructing the sequence of events describing the first 24 hours of its progression. A new report containing the timeline identifies areas where more research is needed to improve life safety and reduce structural losses. It also offers a detailed look at how a large and deadly fire advances — information that will become increasingly valuable as fire seasons continue to intensify.

“Going forward, there’s no reason to believe that fire activity and severity is going to lessen anytime soon. We’re never going to get rid of wildfires, natural or human-caused. But we can learn how to live with and work together to mitigate them.” —Steven Hawks, CAL FIRE chief and report co-author

“The information we collected on the timeline is extremely powerful by itself, not only for Paradise but for other similar communities, to help them understand what they may encounter and better prepare, whether it is at a community or at the first responder level,” said NIST fire protection engineer Alexander Maranghides, who led the timeline reconstruction.

To piece together the puzzle of the Camp Fire, the team carried out discussions with 157 first responders, local officials and utilities personnel who were present during the fire. The team documented sightings of fire or smoke and efforts to fight the fire or evacuate, as well as insights into community preparedness and weather conditions.

NIST Report Camp Fire
NIST researcher and fire protection engineer Alexander Maranghides views a landscape marred by the Camp Fire during a field data collection deployment. Credit: NIST.

The researchers sought to back up observations made during the fire with additional data sources before adding new puzzle pieces to the timeline. With the help of the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection (CAL FIRE), Paradise Police Department and others, the team gained access to and reviewed large data sets, including radio logs, 911 calls, dashboard and body camera recordings, and drone and satellite images. They also looked to images in social and news media to corroborate the sightings of discussion participants.

By the end of the painstaking process, the authors of the report incorporated more than 2,200 observations into the timeline, which is broken up into 15 separate segments to capture concurrent events throughout different sections of Butte County.
Continue reading “Researchers conduct detailed case study of the Camp Fire”

USFS Forestry technician resigns, explains why in letter

Was a GS-5 in Washington state

Wolverine Fire
File photo, Wolverine Fire, Chelan Complex, Chelan, WA, Okanogan-Wenatchee NF, 2015. Photo by Kari Greer.

A forestry technician whose primary duties were fighting fire resigned in November after a six-year fire management career in the Pacific Northwest, most recently on the Okanogan-Wenachee National Forest.

The person asked us not to reveal their name and wants to be identified only by the initials, “BC”. The forestry tech had a permanent part-time appointment, guaranteed six months of work each year as a GS-5. They said they had good performance ratings from their supervisor who was hoping the person would come back to work the next season.

They sent us a copy what what was described as their resignation letter, saying, “I am sharing this with you in hopes to shine a brighter light on what I saw in my short time with the agency as shortfalls and areas for improvement.”

Reading the eight to ten issues that led the person to a life-changing decision can perhaps shine a light on conditions facing other federal fire personnel.

Here is the letter. Acronyms that have been replaced with text are in [brackets]:


I will be resigning from the U.S. Forest Service effective immediately due to a multitude of factors including but not limited to-

  • Lack of a living wage: leading to reliance on [hazard] and [overtime] pay and putting firefighters in dangerous situations when risks to environment is low.
  • Lack of locality pay.
  • Chronic prolonged exposure to cancer causing smoke and pollutants.
  • Lengthening fire season/expectation of pay periods worked.
  • Lack of financial compensation for being on call for over 6 months straight.
  • Lack of financial incentive or legal backing for EMT’s such as myself working for Type 2 organizations. Apparently EMT’s on type 1 crews are “worthy” while I’m not. If I’m important enough to be put on an [Incident Action Plan] as an EMT then I’m important enough to be backed by a medical director and paid for my skills.
  • Minimum wage in Washington being higher than take home pay for GS-5 wages.
  • Lack of off season support from the Agency (mental health, healthcare, employment/job placement).

I thoroughly appreciate the opportunities that this job and organization have afforded me. I have fought fire in places, and environments that I would have otherwise never seen. I have created bonds and memories that will last a lifetime. And for that I am thankful. However, this organization needs to have a serious moment of introspection; the bread and butter of our firefighting operations across this country are seasonal temporary employees — who are overworked and underpaid.

Things need to change, and I can’t risk my physical, mental, and financial well-being  waiting for those changes to occur. My four years with the U.S. Forest Service has been very eye opening to say the least. In order to do what’s best for me and my life, I feel it is time for me to hang up the line gear and move on to more stable and financially rewarding work. I appreciate everyone that I worked with, and for, on the Entiat Ranger District.

I am resigning effective immediately.