Wildfire potential, July through October, 2011

The Predictive Services section at the National Interagency Fire Center has issued their National Wildland Significant Fire Potential Outlook for July through October, 2011. If this turns out to be accurate, it looks like there will be average or below average wildfire potential beginning in July, except for Texas — of course. When it comes to wildfires over the last 8 months or so, if it were not for bad luck, Texas would have no luck at all.

Firefighters in Arizona and New Mexico have both been extremely busy during the last 30 days, with both states experiencing record-breaking fires, larger than any in recorded history. Here’s what the outlook says about that area:

Southwest: Above normal significant fire potential is expected across the northwestern one-third to one-half of Arizona as well as sections of northwestern New Mexico in July. Much of the remainder of the Southwest will transition from above normal to normal during the first 7-10 days of the month. Seasonal trends indicate moisture under the subtropical ridge will produce periods of increased rainfall over the region. However, conditions in the northwestern parts of both Arizona and New Mexico may linger in high fire potential past mid-month until deeper moisture and precipitation can migrate to those areas and reduce the threat. Temperatures are expected to be above normal for most of the area while precipitation is expected to be normal with slightly below normal over western Arizona.

Normal significant fire potential is expected for the entire Southwest for August through October. Normal to slightly above normal monsoon activity could produce above normal precipitation for the period, especially near the continental divide and eastward. The western Arizona lowlands could see normal precipitation. Temperatures are expected to be normal to slightly above normal through the period.

Seasonal wildfire outlook July, 2011
Seasonal wildfire outlook, August-October, 2011

Wildfire news, July 5, 2011

Body of missing Oregon firefighter found

An excerpt from an article in the Register-Guard:

Steven Dickerson
Photo: Lane County Search & Rescue

Lane County and U.S. Forest Service search crews have located and retrieved the body of Steven Dickerson, a 32-year-old Forest Service wildland firefighter, northeast of Oakridge in the Willamette National Forest.

There appears to be no indication of foul play in Dickerson’s death, officials said. Dickerson, of Oakridge, had left behind a note indicating that he was despondent, officials have said.

Dickerson was declared missing after failing to report to an out-of-state firefighting deployment on June 29. His body was found Sunday afternoon northeast of Grasshopper Mountain, officials said. Law enforcement personnel from four agencies, K9 tracking dogs and a helicopter participated in the search.

His body was found in a remote forest area with no trail access and very rough terrain. About 35 Lane County and Forest Service employees spent most of Monday recovering the body, which was taken about 3 p.m. for an autopsy at Sacred Heart Medical Center at RiverBend.

Our sincere condolences to Mr. Dickerson’s family and co-workers.

Army program works to make soldiers fit in body and mind

The U.S. Army program described in the excerpt below from the Washington Post may find applicability among wildland firefighters, some of whom are deployed on fire assignments for extended periods of time with short breaks between fires. Interagency Hot Shot crews and Wildland Fire Modules may spend three to five months every year fighting fires, coming home briefly to wash clothes and pay bills.

…The program, called Comprehensive Soldier Fitness, is designed to make soldiers more psychologically “resilient” amid the pressures of combat, repeated deployments, and family and financial crises.

The effort runs counter to many military traditions.

“It’s a big culture change,” said Col. Jeffery Short, a physician and the program’s medical director.

“For decades,” he said, the Army attitude was “everybody’s just going to be tough. . . . You’re going to sweat this out, and when you come out the other end, you’re going to be better for it.

“Now, to concentrate on how people are thinking, and how they’re feeling . . . that is an Army culture change,” he said.

Brig. Gen. Rhonda Cornum, who oversees the program, said: “The Army recognized that its historical way of dealing with psychological fitness was to wait until somebody showed evidence of not having psychological fitness and then trying to fix it.”

This is an effort to help soldiers before that happens.

 

 

Thanks Dick and Kelly

9 firefighters injured in crew carrier crash

Crew Carrier crash
Photo: NBCLosAngeles

Nine U. S. Forest Service firefighters were injured when their crew carrier crashed in southern California Monday night. Nathan Judy, a USFS public information officer, said seven were taken to area hospitals, treated, then released. Two had to be extricated from the truck and were flown to USC University Hospital in Los Angeles. Judy said they were being held for observation with injuries that were not life-threatening.

According to NBC in Los Angeles he accident happened at about 9:30 p.m. PT as the crew was returning from working on a brush clearance project in the Littlerock area of the Antelope Valley near Palmdale.

The Associated Press reported that authorities said the driver of the crew carrier swerved to avoid hitting a dog and lost control. The truck rolled over a 15-foot an embankment, landing on its side.

Thanks Raj

Family of alligators survive wildfire

A family of alligators survived a wildfire in Alabama’s Gulf State Park by sheltering in place, in their mud hole. Some people worry and wring their hands about the fate of animals during a wildfire, but most of them have adapted to fire over hundreds of thousands of years and know what to do.

In this case an eight and a half foot long mother alligator and nine babies rode out a fire while they sheltered in a mud hole in a large marshy area of the park.

Aligator survival
The home of the gators. Photo: WALA/CNN

Conservation Officer Roger Reetz, who found the gators, said:

The gators rode out the forest fire in this mud hole. Everything around them is burned. Nothing is left. They rode out this fire storm in this mud hole here and now we are trying to do our part to help them out and get them some water so they can ride it out a little longer until the rains come.

The fire is contained, but the Orange Beach Fire Department is going to fill the area with water to make it easier for the family to survive while the area recovers from the fire.

New Smokey Bear video and mobile apps

There is some new Smokey Bear stuff out there. One is the video below, which was posted on Smokey’s YouTube page three days ago.

Also new:

Here is a screen shot of the mobile web site, which is identical in appearance to the mobile Android app.

Smokey Bear mobile site
http://www.smokeybearmobile.com/

I downloaded the Android app. It contains some good information, has a pleasing appearance, and it works fairly well, but has a couple of confusing design quirks. When you are on any page in the app, there is a large bar across the top that says “Back”. This, of course, takes you to the previous page within the app, but it remains there when you’re on the home page for the app, which looks like a secondary page. Touching it then exits the app.

The home page says “Campfire Safety”, which seems like it should be a sub-heading within the app. Four of the nine large buttons on the home page refer to campfire topics, while the other five are unrelated.

The Android Smokey Bear app is a good first effort, but needs a few tweaks. I would give it three out of five stars.

Smokey Bear mobile site QR
Scan this with a smart phone to go to Smokey's mobile site

Predator drone used on Monument fire in Arizona

Predator B drone image Monument fire
Predator B drone image of Monument fire provided by the U.S. Customs and Border Patrol.

While the Monument fire was burning in southern Arizona the U. S. Customs and Border Protection provided images collected by their Predator B unmanned aerial vehicle to the incident management team suppressing the fire. Here is an excerpt from a June 18 article in the Tucson Citizen:

The remotely piloted Predator B Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS), launched from the National Air Security Operations Center-Sierra Vista (NASOC-SV), has been providing streaming video and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) mapping of areas affected by the fires in Arizona. The real-time video stream, known as Big Pipe, is a video distribution system that CBP provides to federal, state and local law enforcement agencies so responders have access to real-time video and still imagery. The images can be viewed anywhere there is an internet connection, including smart-phones.

 

Thanks B.Morgan