Forest Service chief directs agency administrators to let their people go (on fire assignments)

Wyrick Fire
Wyrick Fire in Arizona by Jeff Zimmerman, 7 p.m. June 20, 2021.

It has become common practice in a busy wildfire season f0r high-ranking people in D.C. to write letters to the field directing that red-carded employees, meaning they are qualified to assist on a fire in a specific capacity, be made available to be dispatched to a fire. This has been affectionally called the “Moses Letter.”

In a 2021 version of the letter signed July 14 by Forest Service Chief Victoria Christiansen she said, “We are seeing severe fire behavior that resists control efforts.”

As is the custom in years like this, she directed mission support supervisors to make all “red-carded” personnel available for fire assignments.

The Chief also asked regional and local Certifying Officials to consider granting a one-year certification for employees who hold expired red cards in non-operations and command positions where appropriate. But the request would not override the required medical or physical fitness standards. She also emphasized the “importance of wearing masks in fire camps where vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals are coming into contact with one another.” There was no mention of mandatory mask wearing.

Chief Christiansen also announced a significant change, increasing the required 2 days of rest after returning from a 14-day assignment to three days. In addition, “a two-day rest period for those working 14 continuous and extended days in support of local fire management.

 

[pdf-embedder url=”https://wildfiretoday.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/2021-Wildland-Fire-Priority-Letter.pdf” title=”2021 Wildland Fire Priority Letter”]

 

Here are the dates of some other Moses Letters that we happened to mention on Wildfire today. There are no doubt many others.

  • 2020, May 5. BLM Director William Perry Pendley, the employee serving as the effective head of the agency since one was never nominated during that Administration, wrote what we called a preemptive Moses Letter.
  • 2015, August 18: Forest Service Chief Tom Tidwell distributed the anticipated letter.
  • 2008, July 11, from the Forest Service.

In the Bible, Exodus 5:1, the Lord told Moses to tell the Pharaoh to “Let my people go” from bondage in Egypt. This phrase is the title of the one of the most well known African American spirituals of all time.

The video below was filmed at the Christmas concert at the town hall in Puteaux, France December 11, 2016. It begins at 2:44. The traditional words are:

When Israel was in Egypt’s land
Let my people go
Oppress’d so hard they could not stand
Let my people go

Refrain:
Go down, Moses
Way down in Egypt’s land
Tell old Pharaoh
Let my people go

Forecast for wildfire smoke July 14 & 15, 2021

1:48 p.m. MDT July 14, 2021

Smoke forecast for 8 p.m. MDT July 14, 2021
Smoke forecast for 8 p.m. MDT July 14, 2021. NOAA.

Above is NOAA’s forecast for the distribution of wildfire smoke at 8 p.m. MDT July 14, 2021.

Below is the Canadian’s version of a forecast for the distribution of wildfire smoke 24 hours later, at 8 p.m. MDT July 15, 2021.

Smoke forecast for 8 p.m. MDT July 15, 2021
Smoke forecast for 8 p.m. MDT July 15, 2021. Canadian government.

The photo below taken Wednesday morning in Northeast North Dakota shows visibility being compromised by smoke, which may have originated in Canada.

Smoke in North Dakota, July 14, 2021
Smoke in North Dakota, July 14, 2021. Photo by Misty Kirbitz.

Forest Service’s California Region had not filled 725 of 4,620 planned fire positions in early July

Many of the vacancies are for senior firefighters on engine crews

Dolan Fire, Los Padres National Forest firefighters
Dolan Fire, Los Padres NF in Southern California, September, 2020. Photo by Kari Greer.

An article by Pew Charitable Trusts’ Stateline section combined their data with information from the Associated Press to present a bleak picture of hiring and retention among wildland firefighters in the Forest Service’s California Region.

Below are excerpts from the article published July 14, 2021:

The Forest Service’s California region had filled 3,820 of 4,620 planned permanent and temporary positions as of early July, agency spokesperson Regina Corbin wrote in an email to Stateline.

Thirty-one of California’s 44 hotshot crews are fully staffed, Corbin said.

Almost two-thirds of vacancies at the end of spring hiring were for senior firefighters on engine crews, the data reviewed by Stateline shows.

The agency sought to fill 781 vacant permanent positions in California during spring hiring this year, according to the data. But it ended the hiring period with 725 vacancies. That’s a net gain of just 56 employees.

In June 2015 the region’s leaders expected 96% of engines to be fully staffed, for instance. In June 2020, the share was 59%.

In a different article published the same day at Reuters, still another disturbing fact came to light about wildland firefighter vacancies:

20% of the federal government’s full time firefighting positions are currently vacant, according to Kelly Martin, president of the advocacy group Grassroots Wildland Firefighters.

This large number of vacancies, including hundreds of senior positions, can severely degrade the effectiveness of the Federal government’s ability to suppress wildland fires, which is a Homeland Security issue.

Bootleg Fire spreads 2 to 4 miles further east, growing to nearly 202,000 acres

20 miles east of Chiloquin, Oregon

9:51 a.m. PDT July 13, 2021

Bootleg Fire map
Bootleg Fire map. The white line was the perimeter at 10:39 p.m. PDT July 12. The red areas represent heat detected by a satellite at 4:06 a.m. PDT July 13, 2021.

On Monday the Bootleg Fire in Southern Oregon was driven by strong winds out of the west, northwest, and north gusting at 20 to 30 mph while the temperature at Beatty, Oregon reached 95 degrees with 7 percent relative humidity. This pushed the east side of the fire another 2 to 4 miles to the east, increasing the size to nearly 202,000 acres.

It is burning on the Fremont-Winema National Forest 4 miles north of Beatty and Highway 140, 27 miles northeast of Klamath Falls, and 20 miles east of Chiloquin.

(To see all articles on Wildfire Today about the Bootleg Fire, including the most recent, click HERE.)

The weather forecast for Beatty, Oregon on Tuesday calls for a high of 95 degrees and 5 mph winds out of the north and west. They will shift at sunset with speeds growing to 15 mph with gusts of 23 mph out of the northwest with a relative humidity of 10 percent. This is likely to lead to increasing fire activity throughout the day.

Wednesday afternoon the prediction is for 91 degrees, late afternoon 14 mph northwest winds gusting to 22 mph, and 12 percent RH.

Evacuation information can be found HERE.

Continue reading “Bootleg Fire spreads 2 to 4 miles further east, growing to nearly 202,000 acres”

River Fire burns thousands of acres west of Oakhurst, California

Ten miles southeast of Mariposa

10 a.m. PDT July 13, 2021

River Fire map
River Fire map. The white line was the perimeter mapped by an aircraft at 10:30 p.m. PDT July 12, 2021. The red areas represent heat detected by a satellite at 3:18 a.m. MDT July 13, 2021.

CAL FIRE reported Tuesday morning that the River Fire 6 miles west of Oakhurst has burned 9,500 acres and destroyed 5 structures.

As of 7:30 a.m Monday, mandatory (leave now) evacuation orders were in effect for Road 800, Road 810, Road 812, Road 600, Apache Road to 612 both sides, Road 600 between Apache Ranch and Blazing Saddle Trail, and JWP Ranch Road.

Resources on the fire include 161 engines, 24 dozers, 24 water tenders, and 30 hand crews for a total of 1,327 personnel. CAL FIRE Incident Management Team 6 has assumed command of the fire.

The River Fire started July 11 and is 10 miles southeast of Mariposa and 28 miles north of Fresno.

On Monday firefighters were working on the fire while the temperature was 99 degrees at the Grub Gulch weather station, with southwest winds gusting at 10 to 17 mph. The forecast for Tuesday is for 101 degrees, 15 percent relative humidity, and 8 to 10 mph southwest and west winds. These are not extreme conditions, but very conducive to continued fire spread with very dry fuels. The forecast for Wednesday is about the same but a bit cooler — 97 degrees.

Do we have the luxury this year of not fully suppressing wildfires?

Allowing a fire to burn for months ties up valuable firefighting resources

Dixie Fire July 5, 2021
Dixie Fire July 5, 2021. InciWeb.

Opinion

The 15,323-acre Dixie Fire just east of Dixie, Idaho is not being completely suppressed by the Nez Perce-Clearwater National Forest. A Type 1 Incident Management Team and over 500 personnel will be tied up for an extended amount of time on that incident with their time spent as follows — 15% monitoring, 30% confining, 35% point protecting, and 20% suppressing the fire. Resources assigned include 8 hand crews, 16 fire engines, and 4 helicopters for a total of 522 personnel. The same team is managing the nearby 898-acre Jumbo Fire. (map)

Other fires in the Northern Rockies Geographic Area that are less than full suppression on July 12, 2021 include:

      1. Trestle Creek Complex, Idaho
      2. Jumbo, Idaho
      3. Storm Creek, Idaho
      4. Shotgun, Idaho
      5. Goose,  Montana
      6. Trail Creek, Montana

The forecast for wildland fire potential issued July 1 by the National Interagency Fire Center predicts that California and virtually the entire northwest one-quarter of the United States will have above normal fire potential in July and August. So far that is proving to be true.

It is mid-July, the traditional time for the beginning of the busiest time of the Western fire season. The nation is at Preparedness Level 4, Level 5 is the highest, and resources are already being rationed among 50 large uncontained wildfires. More than 12,000 fire personnel are actively suppressing most of them. Many requests by Incident Commanders for additional personnel and other resources are being UTF’ed, Unable to Fill.

Williams Fork Fire firefighters
Firefighters on the Williams Fork Fire, August 21, 2020, by Kari Greer.

Part of the problem is that the U.S. Forest Service and some of the other Federal land management agencies have hundreds of vacant firefighting positions due to difficulties in hiring and retaining firefighters, who are labeled “Forestry Technicians”. This can be attributed to ridiculously low pay, very frequent travel, miserable working conditions, sexual harassment, a crippled hiring process, and poor benefits.

The Snake River Complex and the Dry Gulch Fire not far away in Idaho and Washington have a combined 109,457 acres and no helicopters. Do we have the luxury of hoarding a Type 1 IMT, over 500 personnel, and 4 helicopters while the U.S. Forest Service babysits a fire all summer? How are they going to explain their decisions to the downwind residents who might be exposed to smoke for months?

As a member of an interagency incident management team that specialized in less than full suppression wildfires, I learned that it is extremely difficult to allow a wildfire to successfully burn for weeks or months with little or no suppression. It requires highly skilled and long-experienced firefighters in key positions to make it work. Another ingredient that is necessary, which can’t be entered on a Resource Request, is luck. All it takes is one or two days of very strong winds and you can find yourself in a nightmare scenario. A less than full suppression fire which goes on for months will probably encounter a wind event. After the fire quadruples in size, changing the strategy to suppression is not a situation an Agency Administrator wants to find themselves in.

Selecting this strategy at the beginning of the fire season is, to put it bluntly in clear text, stupid. Especially when the fuels are extremely dry in early July and the summer looks like it could be full of fire. It would make more sense a month before the average date of a Season Ending Event brought on by heavy rain or snow.

The National and Regional Multi-Agency Coordinating Groups need to be proactive in moving and assigning fire suppression resources where they can be most effective. They can also make use of a rarely used tool, Area Command Teams. The national and regional fire staff of the agencies also need to inject some common sense into what we are seeing at the beginning of this summer. If they do not have enough funding to support their fire organizations and provide homeland security at the levels needed in this decade, they need to have the COURAGE to speak truth to power. Congress needs to take action.

While they can be constructive, there have been enough strongly worded letters, committee hearings, and discussions about legislation. It’s time to sh*t or get off the pot.