Where did the term “gigafire” originate

After the August Complex fire grew beyond 1 million acres news articles around the world yesterday referred to it as a “gigafire”. For an article they were working on, Harmeet Kaur a reporter for CNN contacted us yesterday.

I’m interested in the origin of the term “gigafire” and how it compares to “megafire.” From what I’ve been reading on your website, it seems that you may have coined the terms. Could you confirm whether that is the case?

I told the reporter that as far as I know, a person working for the U. S. Forest Service was one of the first to use “megafire” to describe a fire that burns 100,000 acres. But to my knowledge the first use of “gigafire” for a 1 million-acre fire occurred on Wildfire Today in 2017.

Below an article I wrote about the Elephant Hill Fire in British Columbia which at that time had burned 194,000 acres, I posted a comment asking our readers to suggest a term to describe 1,000,000-acre fires. “kevin9” wrote, “Gigafires, of course.” So he gets the credit for coining the term.

On July 10, 2018 we first used the word in an article on Wildfire Today when writing about the 425,000-acre Martin Fire in Northern Nevada.

When a wildfire reaches 100,000 acres we often refer to it as a “megafire”. But what name do we put on a fire when it is four times the megafire threshold? The incident management team on the Martin Fire in Northern Nevada estimates their fire has burned approximately 425,000 acres. (I think we should reserve “gigafire” for a 1 million-acre fire.)

The next time we used the word was October 26, 2018 in an article with the headline, Bushfire in Australia burns over 2 million acres, becoming a “gigafire”. Following that, it showed up in more articles — Chuckegg Creek Fire in Alberta, six bushfires in Australia that merged, and most recently, the August Complex fire in California.

We are aware of one gigafire that has occurred in the United States within the last few decades.

The fires in the greater Yellowstone area in 1988 burned a total of 1.6 million acres. The largest was the result of five fires burning together totaling 1,200,453 acres: North Fork, Clover Mist, Fan, Hellroaring, and Storm Creek.

The seven fires that comprised the Taylor Complex of fires in Alaska in 2004 totaled 1,303,358 acres, with the largest being the Billy Creek Fire at 463,994 acres.

Fire managers sometime arbitrarily draw a line on a map around multiple separate fires and call the group a “complex” in order to simplify the organization and paperwork, but they are still multiple fires. On a largest-fires list, complexes treated as one fire should not be welcome, but fires that burn together should be allowed.

Origin of the term "gigafire"
Origin of the term “gigafire”

Area Command Team prepares analysis of firefighting needs for the rest of the year

California 2020 Wildland Fire Situation Strategic Management Plan

Area Command Team 2 led by Tim Sexton was assigned to the Southern California Operations Center in mid-September to assist with strategic planning for the rest of the fire year.

These screen shots are borrowed from a PowerPoint presentation the team developed (3.6 Mb) of the likely fire activity, scheduled resource availability, likely resources needs, the gap between needs and availability, and suggestions on how to address the gap.

The group looked back at the previous four years of fire activity and the use of firefighting resources to help predict what the needs are going to be during the rest of the calendar year, or “Fire Year” as we are hearing these days. Of those four years, one was an outlier, 2019, with much less fire activity than average, so it was not used to predict resource needs. The 2,210,266 acres burned in the 49 states outside of Alaska in 2019 was the lowest total since 2004. Almost twice that many acres have already burned in just California so far this year, according to CAL FIRE October 2, 2020.

The slides shown here are 11 of the 15 in the presentation.

California 2020 Wildland Fire Situation Strategic Management Plan

California 2020 Wildland Fire Situation Strategic Management Plan

California 2020 Wildland Fire Situation Strategic Management Plan

Continue reading “Area Command Team prepares analysis of firefighting needs for the rest of the year”

Wildfires and shootings

Stephen Pyne wondered if there was any correlation between mass shootings and the number of structures destroyed each year in wildfires. Here, with his permission, are the facts he uncovered.

Stephen Pyne quote

Mr. Pyne, who was a firefighter at the Grand Canyon for 15 seasons, is a prolific writer about wildland fire. His most recent book is “To the Last Smoke”.

Breathing smoke

October 4, 2020   |   6:09 a.m. PDT

 

Photographers at a wildland fire may be able to use and tolerate a mask that traps 95 percent of the 0.3 micron particulates in smoke, but the devices are not practical for firefighters. (see photo above)

In case you are wondering, masks and respirators are divided into rating classes: N is not oil resistant, R is oil resistant, and P is oil proof. The number, such as 95, refers to the percent of particles removed that are at least 0.3 microns in diameter.

Be careful out there.

Smoke and air quality forecasts and maps, October 3-4, 2020

October 3, 2020   |   10:40 a.m. PDT

The first two maps are for air quality, from AirNow.gov. The first was current at 10 a.m. PDT October 3. The second is the forecast for Sunday, October 4.

Air Quality, 10 a.m. PDT Oct. 3, 2020 AirNow
Air Quality at 10 a.m. PDT Oct. 3, 2020. AirNow.
Air Quality Forecast, October 4, 2020 AirNow
Air Quality Forecast for October 4, 2020. AirNow.

The map below is the forecast for near surface wildfire smoke at noon PDT, Saturday October 3, 2020. The one after that is the forecast for 1 a.m. PDT Oct. 4, 2020. It is interesting that the air quality maps (above) do not detect or predict a serious air quality issue in Colorado around the Mullen Fire.

Smoke Forecast for noon PDT Oct. 3, 2020 AirNow
Smoke Forecast for noon PDT Oct. 3, 2020. AirNow.
Smoke Forecast, 1 a.m. PDT Oct. 4, 2020 NOAA
Smoke Forecast for 1 a.m. PDT Oct. 4, 2020. NOAA.